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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim Andy is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Two
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
Opening Remarks:
These are some big shoes to fill! Tim has been writing his week that was gig in his own unique style for many years apparently. I can't give it the same shake (fortunately some of you may be thinking) but will at least give you the same numbers to review.
Houston at Carolina
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Houston |
40% |
9% |
3.4 |
68 |
60% |
11% |
7.5 |
139 |
39 |
| Carolina |
29% |
6% |
3.1 |
29 |
52% |
9% |
6.6 |
111 |
14 |
I don't know about you, but I was not expecting this one. Isn't Houston the team that has never had a winning record? Ever? Or even close to it? Wow.
Cincinnati at Cleveland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Cincinnati |
57% |
12% |
5.2 |
107 |
61% |
13% |
7.6 |
148 |
39 |
| Cleveland |
41% |
21% |
7.6 |
106 |
54% |
18% |
9.9 |
160 |
48 |
Offense on display. Bet you wish you hadn't picked Peyton Manning in the second round of your fantasy league now. Not with Mr. Anderson and his five touchdowns available to anyone with faith.
Atlanta at Jacksonville
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Atlanta |
52% |
0% |
2.9 |
72 |
44% |
14% |
5.8 |
100 |
22 |
| Jacksonville |
37% |
7% |
3.2 |
62 |
41% |
18% |
7.1 |
102 |
23 |
A very close game by the stats. Is there life in the Falcons post-Vick? Many pundits were of the opinion that Vick actually hurt the team at times so this year could be an interesting test.
Green Bay at NY Giants
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Green Bay |
37% |
4% |
3.1 |
59 |
63% |
7% |
7.7 |
148 |
38 |
| NY Giants |
50% |
19% |
5.8 |
87 |
44% |
7% |
5.4 |
95 |
21 |
Favre is attempting to go out with a bang I think. Good start so far.
Buffalo at Pittsburgh
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Buffalo |
42% |
5% |
3.4 |
78 |
40% |
13% |
4.9 |
75 |
10 |
| Pittsburgh |
65% |
25% |
5.9 |
137 |
48% |
15% |
7.1 |
109 |
43 |
Do you remember the Steelers won the Super Bowl two years ago? Last year may have been the common post-SB win letdown. This year they are back on track I think.
San Francisco at St. Louis
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| San Francisco |
19% |
8% |
3.4 |
42 |
31% |
5% |
3.9 |
59 |
0 |
| St. Louis |
39% |
0% |
2.6 |
43 |
48% |
15% |
7.1 |
125 |
32 |
THE WRONG TEAM WON! Game should have been a Rams blowout instead of the 49ers one point win.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| New Orleans |
46% |
12% |
3.8 |
73 |
43% |
4% |
4.6 |
72 |
14 |
| Tampa Bay |
46% |
3% |
2.7 |
56 |
47% |
29% |
14.6 |
188 |
47 |
Saints had a great season last year but may be close to being on the ropes after two humiliating losses.
Indianapolis at Tennessee
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Indianapolis |
57% |
0% |
3.9 |
85 |
54% |
14% |
6.8 |
118 |
30 |
| Tennessee |
50% |
10% |
3.4 |
86 |
48% |
14% |
6.9 |
111 |
29 |
The Colts are convincing at home but keep things tight on the road. Zero big gains rushing stands out.
Seattle at Arizona
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Seattle |
37% |
4% |
3.8 |
70 |
48% |
14% |
7.2 |
118 |
24 |
| Arizona |
62% |
7% |
4.5 |
92 |
52% |
11% |
7.6 |
118 |
35 |
In contrast to the Steelers, the Seahawks don't look like the Super Bowl team of two years ago. They are suffering the typical SB loser slide into mediocrity.
Minnesota at Detroit
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Minnesota |
51% |
9% |
3.7 |
75 |
45% |
5% |
4.8 |
45 |
0 |
| Detroit |
38% |
11% |
3.0 |
61 |
56% |
6% |
6.2 |
112 |
33 |
Detroit is 2-0 which along with Houston is a sign of how things can turn around in a hurry in pro football.
Dallas at Miami
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Dallas |
34% |
9% |
3.8 |
60 |
47% |
12% |
6.0 |
126 |
31 |
| Miami |
42% |
10% |
2.9 |
66 |
47% |
10% |
7.1 |
95 |
18 |
Dallas looking good.
NY Jets at Baltimore
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| NY Jets |
29% |
0% |
2.5 |
33 |
39% |
14% |
6.1 |
76 |
3 |
| Baltimore |
48% |
3% |
3.7 |
75 |
44% |
3% |
5.4 |
102 |
32 |
Jets looking bad. Hmmm I seem to be stating the obvious. Give me a few weeks kind readers!
Kansas City at Chicago
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Kansas City |
34% |
4% |
3.1 |
52 |
48% |
8% |
5.7 |
81 |
11 |
| Chicago |
53% |
15% |
4.2 |
96 |
42% |
3% |
3.6 |
70 |
22 |
I believe my predecessor (and likely successor) in this role had a year long tirade going about how Grossman was a hopeless quarterback. I take the high road. The Bears might consider getting another QB.
Oakland at Denver
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Oakland |
41% |
18% |
5.6 |
82 |
21% |
4% |
2.1 |
-18 |
0 |
| Denver |
43% |
19% |
4.9 |
94 |
47% |
11% |
6.8 |
100 |
28 |
Yes that Oakland passing game is fearsome. The old punt on third down idea might be working it's way back into the playbook in silver and black land.
San Diego at New England
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| San Diego |
21% |
5% |
2.4 |
42 |
45% |
9% |
5.4 |
82 |
13 |
| New England |
63% |
17% |
5.0 |
110 |
68% |
11% |
8.6 |
157 |
46 |
Patriots were mean and focused after all the spying scandal. Colts-Patriots-Steelers already look like the only Super Bowl contenders.
Washington at Philadelphia
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Washington |
50% |
4% |
3.1 |
78 |
50% |
13% |
7.6 |
109 |
27 |
| Philadelphia |
44% |
22% |
5.5 |
94 |
39% |
2% |
4.7 |
82 |
20 |
Eagles are grounded. Been a while since McNabb has won a game.
Also see:
- Week That Was: Week One
Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
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