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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Three
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
Kansas City at Atlanta
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Kansas City |
42% |
12% |
4.9 |
84 |
33% |
3% |
3.3 |
38 |
6 |
| Atlanta |
50% |
11% |
5.1 |
102 |
49% |
11% |
10.6 |
133 |
39 |
You may have heard Michael Turner had a field day, but the Falcons passing was good too. Chiefs, Rams, Lions = yuck!
Oakland at Buffalo
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Oakland |
37% |
7% |
2.7 |
59 |
26% |
9% |
5.6 |
65 |
3 |
| Buffalo |
48% |
10% |
3.6 |
93 |
50% |
7% |
5.5 |
97 |
34 |
Wow. This game should not have been close. Maybe firing Kiffin not such a bad idea after all!
Tampa Bay at Chicago
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Tampa Bay |
41% |
12% |
2.7 |
64 |
48% |
4% |
5.9 |
95 |
17 |
| Chicago |
35% |
3% |
3.0 |
50 |
53% |
13% |
6.7 |
117 |
28 |
THE WRONG TEAM WON!
Carolina at Minnesota
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Carolina |
35% |
0% |
2.3 |
50 |
36% |
6% |
4.6 |
80 |
11 |
| Minnesota |
50% |
7% |
3.3 |
63 |
40% |
9% |
4.9 |
80 |
18 |
This I know. No one rushes on Minnesota. Vikings looking like they might be my team this season.
Miami at New England
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Miami |
47% |
11% |
6.0 |
113 |
85% |
19% |
11.7 |
228 |
50 |
| New England |
47% |
12% |
4.3 |
94 |
36% |
2% |
3.3 |
36 |
23 |
Shocka. Look at that passing EFR. Scary. New England is toast I tell you. The fear is gone now in teams. Heck Kansas City almost beat the pats and look what that team is.
Cincinnati at N.Y. Giants
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Cincinnati |
34% |
12% |
3.6 |
73 |
53% |
7% |
5.5 |
108 |
19 |
| N.Y. Giants |
48% |
16% |
4.6 |
108 |
56% |
9% |
6.5 |
119 |
40 |
Bengals ugly and this should not have been close.
Houston at Tennessee
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Houston |
57% |
11% |
5.1 |
107 |
31% |
5% |
4.3 |
36 |
3 |
| Tennessee |
44% |
14% |
4.2 |
86 |
46% |
12% |
7.2 |
107 |
35 |
Titans smooth sailers right now.
Arizona at Washington
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Arizona |
54% |
13% |
4.4 |
87 |
47% |
3% |
6.1 |
91 |
18 |
| Washington |
53% |
4% |
3.9 |
92 |
55% |
11% |
5.0 |
108 |
33 |
Two mediocre teams. One more mediocre than the other.
New Orleans at Denver
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| New Orleans |
56% |
8% |
3.5 |
104 |
62% |
8% |
8.6 |
143 |
42 |
| Denver |
60% |
9% |
4.2 |
100 |
51% |
16% |
7.6 |
121 |
31 |
THE WRONG TEAM WON! Fun fun game. This is how the NFL should be.
Detroit at San Francisco
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Detroit |
50% |
17% |
5.5 |
105 |
36% |
5% |
3.4 |
42 |
9 |
| San Francisco |
48% |
11% |
4.7 |
91 |
57% |
7% |
7.4 |
146 |
42 |
Lions suck. Millen a joke. Owners must be flat out senile.
St. Louis at Seattle
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| St. Louis |
41% |
0% |
2.7 |
58 |
42% |
9% |
5.0 |
78 |
12 |
| Seattle |
52% |
13% |
4.7 |
86 |
62% |
13% |
8.2 |
162 |
45 |
Rams hopeless.
Cleveland at Baltimore
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Cleveland |
60% |
13% |
4.8 |
113 |
28% |
0% |
2.2 |
21 |
8 |
| Baltimore |
56% |
7% |
3.7 |
97 |
38% |
0% |
5.8 |
38 |
15 |
Ravens defense very scary again. Don't be suprised if Pittsburgh don't get much going against Lewis and company (and why can't they add a player named Clark so I could roll out the Lewis & Clark routine?)
Jacksonville at Indianapolis
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Jacksonville |
38% |
14% |
4.3 |
74 |
65% |
9% |
7.7 |
130 |
29 |
| Indianapolis |
83% |
11% |
5.6 |
161 |
37% |
19% |
7.4 |
87 |
36 |
THE WRONG TEAM WON. 51-yard field goals as time expires will do that to you.
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Pittsburgh |
29% |
0% |
1.7 |
35 |
37% |
2% |
3.7 |
58 |
3 |
| Philadelphia |
47% |
5% |
3.1 |
71 |
42% |
5% |
4.3 |
66 |
21 |
Eagles ready for a big year.
Dallas at Green Bay
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Dallas |
50% |
21% |
6.4 |
123 |
38% |
12% |
6.3 |
67 |
21 |
| Green Bay |
52% |
0% |
4.0 |
84 |
44% |
6% |
5.0 |
82 |
20 |
Dallas already having a big year.
N.Y. Jets at San Diego
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| N.Y. Jets |
58% |
0% |
3.1 |
75 |
55% |
2% |
5.3 |
92 |
15 |
| San Diego |
51% |
3% |
3.3 |
84 |
71% |
16% |
9.9 |
163 |
48 |
Favre can't cure the Jets.
Also see:
- Week Two
- Week One
Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks
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