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NFL Weekly Recap

This is Tim's claim to fame of course, and with the Tim-a-roni back from a one year sabbatical/drinking binge, who knows what will transpire!

Tim will, among other things, dole out a recap of the prior week's games, complete with the exclusive TMW play by play stats and ratings and the always important "stats score" that can be compared to the real score of the game.


THE WEEK THAT WAS

- Updated every Tuesday by 4pm Pacific Time -
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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim is here to answer all of these questions and more.

THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Three

  • PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
  • Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
  • Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
  • EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
  • Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Kansas City at Atlanta
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Kansas City
42%
12%
4.9
84
33%
3%
3.3
38
6
Atlanta
50%
11%
5.1
102
49%
11%
10.6
133
39

You may have heard Michael Turner had a field day, but the Falcons passing was good too. Chiefs, Rams, Lions = yuck!

Oakland at Buffalo
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Oakland
37%
7%
2.7
59
26%
9%
5.6
65
3
Buffalo
48%
10%
3.6
93
50%
7%
5.5
97
34

Wow. This game should not have been close. Maybe firing Kiffin not such a bad idea after all!

Tampa Bay at Chicago
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Tampa Bay
41%
12%
2.7
64
48%
4%
5.9
95
17
Chicago
35%
3%
3.0
50
53%
13%
6.7
117
28

THE WRONG TEAM WON!

Carolina at Minnesota
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Carolina
35%
0%
2.3
50
36%
6%
4.6
80
11
Minnesota
50%
7%
3.3
63
40%
9%
4.9
80
18

This I know. No one rushes on Minnesota. Vikings looking like they might be my team this season.

Miami at New England
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Miami
47%
11%
6.0
113
85%
19%
11.7
228
50
New England
47%
12%
4.3
94
36%
2%
3.3
36
23

Shocka. Look at that passing EFR. Scary. New England is toast I tell you. The fear is gone now in teams. Heck Kansas City almost beat the pats and look what that team is.

Cincinnati at N.Y. Giants
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Cincinnati
34%
12%
3.6
73
53%
7%
5.5
108
19
N.Y. Giants
48%
16%
4.6
108
56%
9%
6.5
119
40

Bengals ugly and this should not have been close.

Houston at Tennessee
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Houston
57%
11%
5.1
107
31%
5%
4.3
36
3
Tennessee
44%
14%
4.2
86
46%
12%
7.2
107
35

Titans smooth sailers right now.

Arizona at Washington
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Arizona
54%
13%
4.4
87
47%
3%
6.1
91
18
Washington
53%
4%
3.9
92
55%
11%
5.0
108
33

Two mediocre teams. One more mediocre than the other.

New Orleans at Denver
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
New Orleans
56%
8%
3.5
104
62%
8%
8.6
143
42
Denver
60%
9%
4.2
100
51%
16%
7.6
121
31

THE WRONG TEAM WON! Fun fun game. This is how the NFL should be.

Detroit at San Francisco
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Detroit
50%
17%
5.5
105
36%
5%
3.4
42
9
San Francisco
48%
11%
4.7
91
57%
7%
7.4
146
42

Lions suck. Millen a joke. Owners must be flat out senile.

St. Louis at Seattle
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
St. Louis
41%
0%
2.7
58
42%
9%
5.0
78
12
Seattle
52%
13%
4.7
86
62%
13%
8.2
162
45

Rams hopeless.

Cleveland at Baltimore
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Cleveland
60%
13%
4.8
113
28%
0%
2.2
21
8
Baltimore
56%
7%
3.7
97
38%
0%
5.8
38
15

Ravens defense very scary again. Don't be suprised if Pittsburgh don't get much going against Lewis and company (and why can't they add a player named Clark so I could roll out the Lewis & Clark routine?)

Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Jacksonville
38%
14%
4.3
74
65%
9%
7.7
130
29
Indianapolis
83%
11%
5.6
161
37%
19%
7.4
87
36

THE WRONG TEAM WON. 51-yard field goals as time expires will do that to you.

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Pittsburgh
29%
0%
1.7
35
37%
2%
3.7
58
3
Philadelphia
47%
5%
3.1
71
42%
5%
4.3
66
21

Eagles ready for a big year.

Dallas at Green Bay
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Dallas
50%
21%
6.4
123
38%
12%
6.3
67
21
Green Bay
52%
0%
4.0
84
44%
6%
5.0
82
20

Dallas already having a big year.

N.Y. Jets at San Diego
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
N.Y. Jets
58%
0%
3.1
75
55%
2%
5.3
92
15
San Diego
51%
3%
3.3
84
71%
16%
9.9
163
48

Favre can't cure the Jets.


Also see:
- Week Two
- Week One

Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks


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