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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim Andy is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Nine
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
Notes: My comments have been less than well received. Not that I blame the readers. I'm trying to craft a style that isn't just stating the obvious. This week I have some help from guest commentator Mike Q.
San Francisco at Atlanta
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| San Francisco |
41% |
17% |
4.8 |
87 |
33% |
5% |
3.4 |
43 |
3 |
| Atlanta |
45% |
8% |
3.8 |
81 |
40% |
11% |
5.3 |
74 |
23 |
Impression: 49ers are bad bad bad. Rams-Niners II next week will be a thriller.
Mike:
Cincinnati at Buffalo
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Cincinnati |
26% |
0% |
2.0 |
33 |
60% |
8% |
7.1 |
123 |
14 |
| Buffalo |
42% |
14% |
4.7 |
82 |
61% |
12% |
8.9 |
144 |
45 |
Impression: Bills have something working. The Jail-Bengals not so much.
Mike:
Denver at Detroit
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Denver |
37% |
6% |
2.9 |
62 |
49% |
4% |
4.7 |
77 |
6 |
| Detroit |
53% |
14% |
4.6 |
96 |
47% |
12% |
7.5 |
114 |
39 |
Impression: The Broncos era is over it appears. The Lions era has begun.
Mike:
Green Bay at Kansas City
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Green Bay |
28% |
7% |
2.1 |
21 |
54% |
11% |
9.8 |
137 |
27 |
| Kansas City |
30% |
4% |
2.2 |
56 |
50% |
10% |
5.8 |
97 |
18 |
Impression: Favre dream season continues. He's also coming back next year I think!
Mike:
San Diego at Minnesota
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| San Diego |
31% |
11% |
1.9 |
57 |
31% |
2% |
4.0 |
51 |
3 |
| Minnesota |
61% |
24% |
8.1 |
138 |
53% |
8% |
6.3 |
103 |
37 |
Impression: Wow, this one I didn't see coming. You just don't see NFL teams being creamed on the ground too much.
Mike:
Jacksonville at New Orleans
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Jacksonville |
30% |
20% |
4.1 |
55 |
46% |
13% |
8.7 |
97 |
15 |
| New Orleans |
56% |
13% |
4.1 |
104 |
54% |
14% |
8.6 |
154 |
48 |
Impression: Saints have worked their way to 4-4 after the 0-for start. Now look like bonafide NFC playoff team.
Mike:
Washington at NY Jets
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Washington |
54% |
17% |
6.1 |
112 |
45% |
4% |
5.6 |
108 |
35 |
| NY Jets |
50% |
12% |
3.9 |
80 |
42% |
9% |
5.1 |
91 |
18 |
Impression: Closer than it should have been. Redskins are 5-3 and scare no one.
Mike:
Arizona at Tampa Bay
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Arizona |
16% |
0% |
1.9 |
25 |
29% |
7% |
5.7 |
66 |
0 |
| Tampa Bay |
40% |
9% |
3.7 |
68 |
54% |
6% |
5.4 |
96 |
30 |
Impression: Bucs doing it with defense again.
Mike:
Carolina at Tennessee
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Carolina |
30% |
13% |
2.9 |
43 |
29% |
2% |
3.2 |
21 |
0 |
| Tennessee |
40% |
10% |
3.4 |
69 |
42% |
0% |
3.6 |
42 |
23 |
Impression: Titans have a knack for winning without doing much on offense. I mean really, when was the last time they had an even decent passing day?
Mike:
Seattle at Cleveland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Seattle |
37% |
15% |
3.9 |
62 |
55% |
6% |
6.8 |
127 |
25 |
| Cleveland |
44% |
8% |
2.5 |
96 |
54% |
8% |
7.1 |
127 |
38 |
Impression: Browns games are exciting!
Mike:
New England at Indianapolis
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| New England |
58% |
4% |
4.5 |
91 |
50% |
6% |
6.3 |
91 |
20 |
| Indianapolis |
51% |
16% |
3.8 |
90 |
47% |
12% |
8.2 |
111 |
33 |
Impression: the big one and the WRONG TEAM WON! Can't wait for the playoff rematch when it counts for so much.
Mike:
Houston at Oakland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Houston |
42% |
9% |
4.7 |
85 |
47% |
21% |
10.5 |
142 |
39 |
| Oakland |
56% |
9% |
4.0 |
109 |
33% |
9% |
5.0 |
48 |
12 |
Impression: Raiders fans wallow in self pity once again. Why not play the rookie QB you have to wonder.
Mike:
Dallas at Philadelphia
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Dallas |
44% |
14% |
3.8 |
82 |
75% |
28% |
12.9 |
211 |
51 |
| Philadelphia |
55% |
11% |
3.6 |
105 |
42% |
4% |
5.0 |
68 |
24 |
Impression: Cowboys are the class of the NFC but that doesn't look good when you remember how easily the Patriots beat them.
Mike:
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Baltimore |
28% |
14% |
4.5 |
42 |
32% |
0% |
0.6 |
13 |
0 |
| Pittsburgh |
13% |
3% |
2.1 |
7 |
53% |
12% |
8.2 |
142 |
28 |
Impression: Steelers crush the average and bad teams but don't seem to be in the same league as Indy and New England.
Mike:
Also see:
- Week That Was: Week Eight
- Week That Was: Week Seven
- Week That Was: Week Six
- Week That Was: Week Five
- Week That Was: Week Four
- Week That Was: Week Three
- Week That Was: Week Two
- Week That Was: Week One
Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks
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