Drive Chart Turnover Overlays
Our research has shown that combining the drive chart predicted scores with
some of the 'Turnover Difference' theories yields a highly predictive forecast against the spread.
For more background on this TwoMinuteWarning tool, please see the
DC/TO article series.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
DCTO
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Indianapolis at Chicago |
CHI 20-15 |
-5 |
+7 |
Chicago |
12 |
2006 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
1 - 3 |
4 - 6 |
3 - 5 |
2 - 4 |
6 - 3 |
16 - 21 |
| HomeDogs |
6 - 2 |
3 - 1 |
5 - 1 |
4 - 2 |
3 - 3 |
21 - 9 |
| AwayFavs |
1 - 3 |
2 - 2 |
5 - 2 |
4 - 4 |
4 - 7 |
16 - 18 |
| AwayDogs |
6 - 10 |
12 - 5 |
9 - 9 |
10 - 4 |
25 - 18 |
62 - 46 |
|
| Favorites |
2 - 6 |
6 - 8 |
8 - 7 |
6 - 8 |
10 - 10 |
32 - 39 |
| Underdogs |
12 - 12 |
15 - 6 |
14 - 10 |
14 - 6 |
28 - 21 |
83 - 55 |
| Home Teams |
7 - 5 |
7 - 7 |
8 - 6 |
6 - 6 |
9 - 6 |
37 - 30 |
| Away Teams |
7 - 13 |
14 - 7 |
14 - 11 |
14 - 8 |
29 - 25 |
78 - 64 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
14 - 18 |
21 - 14 |
22 - 17 |
20 - 14 |
38 - 31 |
115 - 94 |
| WIN % |
44 % |
60 % |
56 % |
59 % |
55 % |
55 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
6 - 2 |
12 - 9 |
14 - 28 |
| Underdogs |
17 - 3 |
30 - 21 |
36 - 31 |
|
