Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Indianapolis at Chicago |
CHI 25-22 |
-3 |
+7 |
Chicago |
10 |
2006 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
5 - 6 |
6 - 9 |
5 - 5 |
4 - 4 |
7 - 9 |
27 - 33 |
| HomeDogs |
1 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
6 - 2 |
| AwayFavs |
3 - 2 |
3 - 5 |
1 - 4 |
2 - 3 |
13 - 18 |
22 - 32 |
| AwayDogs |
5 - 7 |
10 - 4 |
13 - 7 |
9 - 9 |
12 - 7 |
49 - 34 |
|
| Favorites |
8 - 8 |
9 - 14 |
6 - 9 |
6 - 7 |
20 - 27 |
49 - 65 |
| Underdogs |
6 - 7 |
12 - 5 |
14 - 7 |
10 - 9 |
13 - 8 |
55 - 36 |
| Home Teams |
6 - 6 |
8 - 10 |
6 - 5 |
5 - 4 |
8 - 10 |
33 - 35 |
| Away Teams |
8 - 9 |
13 - 9 |
14 - 11 |
11 - 12 |
25 - 25 |
71 - 66 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
14 - 15 |
21 - 19 |
20 - 16 |
16 - 16 |
33 - 35 |
104 - 101 |
| WIN % |
48 % |
53 % |
56 % |
50 % |
49 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
8 - 19 |
20 - 20 |
21 - 26 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 1 |
19 - 13 |
35 - 22 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Indianapolis at Chicago |
IND 23-20 |
+3 |
+7 |
Chicago |
4 |
2006 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
6 - 7 |
8 - 9 |
5 - 8 |
2 - 2 |
6 - 4 |
27 - 30 |
| HomeDogs |
2 - 2 |
2 - 1 |
2 - 1 |
2 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
9 - 5 |
| AwayFavs |
4 - 4 |
4 - 2 |
4 - 3 |
2 - 4 |
6 - 16 |
20 - 29 |
| AwayDogs |
7 - 3 |
10 - 11 |
7 - 5 |
9 - 4 |
20 - 10 |
53 - 33 |
|
| Favorites |
10 - 11 |
12 - 11 |
9 - 11 |
4 - 6 |
12 - 20 |
47 - 59 |
| Underdogs |
9 - 5 |
12 - 12 |
9 - 6 |
11 - 5 |
21 - 10 |
62 - 38 |
| Home Teams |
8 - 9 |
10 - 10 |
7 - 9 |
4 - 3 |
7 - 4 |
36 - 35 |
| Away Teams |
11 - 7 |
14 - 13 |
11 - 8 |
11 - 8 |
26 - 26 |
73 - 62 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
19 - 16 |
24 - 23 |
18 - 17 |
15 - 11 |
33 - 30 |
109 - 97 |
| WIN % |
54 % |
51 % |
51 % |
58 % |
52 % |
53 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
5 - 16 |
22 - 15 |
20 - 28 |
| Underdogs |
3 - 3 |
23 - 11 |
36 - 24 |
|
